2012年3月23日星期五

The English football New Year a little "cold"

In the 20 rounds a focus in the war, the last round of loss leaders Manchester city to shock back, home romped to a 3-0 win over rivals Liverpool. Manchester united were not in the game, Manchester city temporarily will lead to three points. Buster confident in 2011 before the last battle in the premier league table of Manchester city ranked first by west brom 1-1 draw, let Manchester united in the integral tied on themselves, and the rest of the only goal difference advantage. For Manchester city for, 2012 years is not start it not bad. Manchester united last home team Blackburn shame, but on January 1 day but they also encounter winner, the 1-0 loss to the three-point banker sunderland, missed to expand the leading edge of the best chance. Nearly two rounds only get 1 minute,MLB Cap this let this round of Manchester city and Liverpool game does not favor. Especially in these years, the red army has been "blue moon" buster. Both sides in the last 13 games, only one game Manchester city win, the rest of the 12 games 6 6 draws negative. The first leg win in this season, Liverpool and Manchester city at home in the 1-1 draw with. Although Manchester city defence is not fit, let the Liverpool game won 18 first chance to shoot in midfield, Barry is in game two accumulative total was shown a yellow card, but luckily keeper hart's brace, many times the other team to score points dissolve the good opportunity. Especially the opening only 8 minutes, hart is blocking the Liverpool winger Stewart downing of ChanDaoQiu, avoid the team took the lead in conceding a goal. The next game is found state Manchester city striker aguero, 10 minutes, the frontier's shot down in Liverpool goalkeeper pepe reina flapping the ball rebounded eerie into the net, to open the door of the Manchester city victory. The game is the most eye-catching Manchester city to a goal and a assists midfielder and the · kolo toure. 34 minutes, he took a corner silva, header help the team extended their lead. The second half of warfare, less time, again is the six-yard box and · kolo toure for Manchester city created the winning penalty, James milner calm take the hit. Win this showdown between, Manchester city is finally stopped declining tendency, and will also pressure thrown to the early tomorrow to play Manchester united title rivals. The reds must win away to continue to keep up with Newcastle city rivals steps. The New Year is really good cold schedule of the new premiership campaign dense Christmas is always the giants to rob points, beating the best time to competitors. But in two rounds before and after Christmas normal after the game, into the New Year but became unpopular DieBao round. The last round their matches in the premiership, first by aston villa's home 1:3 reverse, dropped from the first four. Didn't think this is just a beginning unpopular, behind is cold to the extreme "meal". The bottom of the table of Blackburn played the 20 years of history of the biggest shocks. They use a 3-2 at old trafford destroyed the old sir alex ferguson's seventieth birthday, has destroyed the Manchester united to the throne table, with leaders in 2012 into the dream of identity. In recent years the mainstream in the league, only Barcelona last season in la liga to a 2-0 home defeat to ShengBan Mach library accident rice considerably more than the game shock. Just when all people think that takes advantage of Manchester city, sunderland and become the next unpopular maker. They stopped success "blue moon," the Korean star ChiDongYuan be heroes, he lay in injury time goal for the premiership leaders. Have to mention was sunderland become the Christmas season the biggest winner of the New Year campaign, in addition to shock victory over Manchester city besides, is this morning they 4-1 victory away to wigan athletic,MLB hats they four games get three wins and a draw in the success, 10 points sum also let them quickly from relegation to league climbed 10. Among the big four, united are still not a game, the first three rounds of the score is 2-1 negative; Arsenal because this lost and fulham London Derby, they two wins and a draw 1 negative had seven points and the achievements and Manchester city. Chelsea and Liverpool are 1 wins, two draws and one negative, got only five points. The team with the best record is tottenham, today's 1-0 at west brom tottenham four games in two wins and two draws 8 points remain unbeaten, it also let them remain the third place in the league, and the second left Manchester united three points gap.

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New Year new wonders the premiership five juesha

Magic the New Year! Crazy premiership New Year! 2012 years ago in two days of seven games in the premiership, have staged five games on Saturday show, make the whole world the heart of the premiership fans suffered a huge challenge, losing and the brute force prevails, win the ball out crazy roar rushed to a boil, and simply enjoy dramatic neutral is inevitable big shout smash. On January 1, the two premiership games appeared in the final juesha. Sunderland South Korea ChiDongYuan killer of three minutes and four seconds of stoppage time, overcome the leaders Manchester city's goal,NBA Hats juesha the vaunted blue moon legion; And everton anichebe is shot in the 87th minute goal, help "taffy" in their 1-0 barrick west brom. Just one day after, on January 2 of 5 premiership games, and have three games the most dramatic happened in the final of the beat. In the champions league final last season developed between the "promoted Derby" in Norwich 1-0 down even pull two goals, including a ball is put by Steven Morrison scored in the 83th minute-and this is only the night victory over the feast to an appetizer. At the same time the Chelsea kick-off against wolves away game, the blues on 54 minutes with ramirez's goal lead, but petr cech guarded gate in the 85th minute but the wolves in the ward open, the score was pull to 1-1, see Chelsea get three points will soon become a 1 minute, the blues will be in five round the plight of numerous, veteran lampard key moment stand up on 89 minutes to complete the thrilling for Chelsea for a dead! And in subsequent kick-off at Arsenal against fulham road of "London Derby" that reversing come more wonderful than Norwich, juesha come more than Chelsea adventure! Blackburn but strength of the dominant Arsenal took the lead 21 minutes, until the 78th minute, "the farmer" fulham truly lifted the counter-offensive storm, and this storm is particularly so fierce, first 85 minutes, now YuFuLe effect of Arsenal's old will philippe senderos assists another Arsenal old will sidwell after making, and in injury time 2 minutes, manufacturing QiaoLu second yellow card SaMoLa fulham striker and grab Krishna, pull a headed clearance of strange force point, and volleyed penetrated, fired, jersey, for fulham beat Arsenal! The 2011-2012 season in the premiership, it can cloud, tricky with a demon, first on giants between "showdown between" for appeared in more than 2, 6 8 than 1, 5 3 such large than the score, then form the four big and strong circulation phase 6 table's "magic food chain", and this "YiWuJiangYiWu" of the "food chain" can even expanded to the premiership all 20 teams. And at the end of 2011, and in early 2012 to three calendar and the premiership and back-to-back bombshells provoked the great surprise, last season's premiership top 4-Manchester united, Chelsea, Manchester city, Arsenal, in this three days to present on the top 10 away with four of the middle and lower reaches the team: on December 31, 2011, at present integral tied for first, because only in the league on goal difference disadvantages of defending champions Manchester united came second, at home to the row in the table before the bottom bottom first team Blackburn; The same day, Chelsea on 83 minutes and 86 minutes even throw 2 ball, 1 by aston villa reverse than 3; After a day,wholesale sunglasses Manchester city leaders recently just change the handsome defeat at sunderland; Another day and Arsenal in the final hour was fulham reversal. Such "gone" scene, both the premiership giants strength weakened traditional factors, but also because the premier league and high level that team also has the very strong competitiveness. Manchester united boss sir alex ferguson in some time ago to say: "not we are weak, but our league too strong." The premiership giants gone to add a lot of trouble, but the fans happy-every round are extremely rich in suspense, which one of the fans don't want to see this situation?

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2012年3月21日星期三

Liverpool YaoXing covets the official confirmed

The competitions this season the 36 games into 57 ball, all field goals for 1.76, this is up data, but the league data down to 30 ball 26 games, averaging only 1.15, this is the present situation of Liverpool, damage, very weak. The expert points out, Liverpool and Arsenal and Chelsea cannot competition of the first four this is why, if the reds next season or such attack power, so they still competition champions league qualification. So, the summer transfer market Liverpool goal was very clear, and that is to strengthen attack strength, having suarez, carol, Craig Bellamy and kuyt,MLB Cap and on the basis of added a strength of the young forward, it is reported the Liverpool manager dalglish pursuing Luke-nigel DE jong. More the premiership news gt; Gt; The British media "daily post" leaks, Liverpool scout has been investigation nigel DE jong Luke, the player's agent, families-such party has said in an interview at Liverpool, really was with his contact. "They have suarez and carol, but they still have to Luke-nigel DE jong strong interest." Marco-such an interview, "of course, some British club and the German club also interested in him." According to introducing, Luke nigel DE jong this year is 21 years old, joined in 2009 has been so far, winter effect and gradually become the eredivisie back on a famous striker, last season he represents the competitions, for winter 49 times and scored 20 goals this season, played the competitions 39 times, scoring 26 goals assists 17 times! Authoritative media "the transfer market," said Luke-nigel DE jong worth of about 6.5 million pounds, but Liverpool to sign him, at least to pay 15 million pounds, winter just right. In addition to Luke-nigel DE jong has an accident, the British media the insight into the offside "also revealed that Liverpool two deal, and are for the England of the local talent. The first local genius is Wells phillips DE zaha, the player 19 years old this year, for the championship club crystal palace, the secretary winger, 2009/10 season for first team, up to now represent crystal palace to play 89 times, scoring eight goals assists 10 times, the most shining a game away when the crystal palace of the league cup war Manchester united, he helped the championship club overtime victory over the premiership giants, which has a gun. This season, zaha representative crystal palace made 38 appearances, scoring seven goals in eight assists, and in England U21 team. In addition, Liverpool are interested in buying victor-mo Seth, the player this year is 21 years old, with England and Nigeria passport, his debut in the crystal palace, in January 2010 to wigan, the secretary winger, earlier some play for England team at all levels, launched in 2012 to the arms of Nigeria, Africa outfit for international competition. This season, the mo Seth representative wigan premiership involvement 27 times, scored two goals assists 4 times. The British media the mirror to disclose, Liverpool will be old 36 years old fowler still has not signed with the Blackpool, it is reported the reds former god wants to sign, must accept his new £ 100 pounds of the contract. Finally added a Liverpool official news,buy sunglasses central defender Scott was elected the red army's best player in February, he had a month of four games all start, scored two goals, one of which is the ball in the carling cup final score when Liverpool 1-0 down, Scott's equaliser helped the reds have to overtime, and ultimately help the team won six years first champions league. It is reported, this vote, Scott's get 46% of the fans to support, kuyt won 13% of the vote, carol has 12% vote is ranked third in the world.

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Liverpool's soul with wing recovered from injury

This weekend, the premier league round 28 'a premiership giants stadium of light challenge sunderland. In recent months, Liverpool and very large record, although in the cups LianZhanLianJie, but in the league has been unprecedented setbacks, do not say first how bad record, 2012 league home first goal is unexpectedly last weekend coase cerny's own goal, then Liverpool will not be at the game for Arsenal scored, robin van persie scored two goals to the red army 1-2 were reversed. If Liverpool will also be the first four as the premier league goal this season, so their next game will not have the slightest carelessness, winning is the only choice. It should be noted that the current war, in Liverpool out of the good news, Steven gerrard and glen Johnson back.baseball hats More the premiership news gt; Gt; Liverpool boss dalglish at a regular press conference on Thursday that the international duty injured Steven gerrard and glen Johnson is back in training, if not incident, it should be able to catch the away games this weekend war sunderland. "Steven gerrard and glen Johnson back in training today, so we have to look at how they. Steven gerrard will return to the huge is inspiring?" Liverpool boss dalglish said, "I want to say is not just any injuries to Steven gerrard, for we are inspired, Steven gerrard of course also included. Glen Johnson's comeback is also great and his recent good form. We will look at them in the next two days, and the training of this judge whether they will be ready for sunderland." Steven gerrard with glen Johnson back from the home and away league record this season Liverpool is paradoxical, 13 home 4-8-1 negative, defeat at Arsenal's event is league first home defeat, and away win games (6 times) the number of more than at home. To this, the Liverpool manager dalglish says, the red army whether at home or away, the attitude is all the same, "home and away we have not changed much, we always try to win at home., we have some good but failed to qualify for the results of the sequences, perhaps due on the road we record the performance of the better but we probably is not too good. No matter where the combat program, there is not much change, we are always to victory as the goal, we always put the most hope to win the starting xi." In talking to sunderland, Liverpool boss dalglish "black cat" praise the bounce of the momentum. "Carter Moore and se se case nong will not play, I don't know their injuries. Newcastle and sunderland Derby always very intense, I don't know how much energy consumption of sunderland, but I believe they will prepare for Saturday's game." Liverpool boss dalglish continued, "Bruce's class to make me some surprised, but very clearly, when the team underachievement coach will be fired. Martin o 'neal not introduced too many players, sunderland is great changes took place in the squad change. Is not much, but the attitude of the players is not the same. Since Martin o 'neal takes office, sunderland's performance is very good, they are hard to beat." For Liverpool itself, boss dalglish to expect team can rebound, "against Arsenal in the dressing room after the game, everybody's response is very good, we know that game we played well, but we have not obtained the portion of the results. We just need to continue our state, the league cup final players do very well,baseball hats they played really well. If we can keep up that play, we wouldn't lose too much competition, as for our ranking, the end of the season to say again." A few days ago, an anecdotal Paris saint germain acquisition suarez, to this Liverpool boss dalglish also respond, "to be honest, I was really surprised, the question is do you want to ask me, so don't you reporters don't know how to work in the media world?" Mention transfer news, added a British media "daily post" news, says Liverpool marked the united prey, Brazil defender druid, the player this year 23 years old, is known as the native Brazil the strongest of central defender, Brazil is the key to prepare for the 2014 World Cup players. In addition, united scouts stam will the player to recommend to sir alex ferguson, says druid have carry the potential of Rio Ferdinand, now spread is interested in buying this Liverpool players, it is reported the reds have offer, for a fee for 15 million pounds.

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2012年3月19日星期一

China home appliances into the supply chain win-win stage

For a long time contradiction has been plagued by electrical appliance industry, retailers and manufacturers to small friction may evolve into the intense game, especially in the global economic recession. Home appliance industry must be included in the supply chain to consumers the category, this needs retailers and manufacturers of informationization means business data seamless docking up, completely around the needs of the consumers organization research and development, production and retail, so that we can guarantee the smooth running of the industrial chain article with a win-win situation. Media reports, recently gome group 34 division new ERP system and online success operation, the event at the cause of the larger repercussions. Why does a enterprise's information system will cause the height of the online industry attention? This system will give China home appliances bring which change? Please look at 108) the depth of the home appliance ". Host: each netizen hello, and welcome to this issue of home appliance depth ". First welcome our old friend, senior director of counseling from LuoQingQi teacher. ROM. Teacher,cheap new era hats how do you do. LuoQingQi: the host is good. Host: ROM teacher, media reports, today gome group 34 division online ERP system and successful operation, this in the industry has also had a certain response, why a enterprise the information system of on-line cause the attention of the industry? LuoQingQi: I think also cannot from a business perspective, should from a hub's perspective. Big retail enterprise should be a supply chain set point, is a supply chain set point. The ERP system, in a certain sense, is the enterprise operation all nodes of digital, this is a. Second, these data and resources planning. The process monitoring operation, comprehensive monitoring all process, it is a thing, equal to say is a hub, a large circulation hubs replace the operating system. Host: in recent years contradiction plagued house electric appliance, the emergence of a supplier for retailers stop supply event, why can have something like this happened? LuoQingQi: contradiction, in essence that the contradiction between supply and demand. But certain significance on expression is contradiction, why? In fact he said consumer retail and supplies, make things consumers don't, for example, you have 100 things, consumers to 70 pieces or to 30 pieces, and the rest? Don't you will be on sale disposed, discount have damage, everyone will be for the damage in the problem arguing about. You damage a no problem, but now the problem is what? You each make a business has certain people don't, is balance, the more down more and more of what, such as I do 100 pen, don't accounted for 30% or 50% this concept, so now will find that, things don't always accompany business process, and not solve, so as the contradiction between the zero for very large. I actually think that supply and demand contradiction. Consumers don't, that is the supply and consumption demand is conflicting. Retail is a representative, retail just supply a representative of the just. So, you can't do it, this problem is very complex. Inside this contradiction, such as we now see in developed economies inside, usually this contradiction is relatively rare. Why? Or supply chain integration is smooth, the contradiction, is what I just said is consumer products accounted for the remaining pick than low, very low, retail party and the supplier can put his loss to a minimum, so the supply chain of the oscillation is not. Host: the current Chinese home appliance industry informatization construction and the United States including Japanese enterprise is different, for information construction each have the requirement of how? LuoQingQi: I think what about, the host said is right, the developed countries now is like days, the United States, Europe and we don't really, why? Now these countries have not manufacturing products, a large part of the China sourcing directly from the past sales. The factory went to Asia to move, that is, they, in their own domestic only store, no factory, purchasing plan according to purchase over, sold out, and then can be in again. In the developed economies, the price of the product are relatively stable. We now see domestic, on the one hand, is the world's largest in our factory, next to the world-class retail. Shop and the distance between the factory is very short, all in one area inside, supply chain in the retail and the distance between the supply is very short, but also has a problem, is that the price is not stable, price fluctuations is better. Price volatility, no matter for manufacturing, retail, and to the economies of the influence of the whole economy and to influence is very big. Now to fix the problem, I think now enterprise do ERP system, in a certain sense, is in complete we retail to call supply chain integration, why? Not on the enterprise information system, the consumer is attached to the inside the system, consumers, retailers and suppliers, they want to do the integration between information. Now you can feel what consumers want, originally the conditions is not have, although we said to be, why not have? You rely on discrete investigation is hard to touch clearly consumer demand, you go to the market make survey, we were in this state. We now chain has mature, the chain network is very big, consumers every day to buy things, and people to not buy. Go to the didn't buy and went to buy the things can be as data precipitation down, consumer shopping demand can relatively clear in the retail network inside this show. Show this part of the demand, is retailers to touch. Touch the thing can feedback to what? Back to the manufacturing inside, they go to research and development, and to make. Now in a consumers as a driving force to drive the chain, now the information system can put the consumer and retail with factory, factory upstream and form a complete set up enterprise integration.Combine what is up? I think it comes from the whole chain of planning of planning, let whole chain won the planned, many had originally been consumers pick the rest of the number is greatly reduced and the operation of the supply chain is relatively stable. Host: the current state is also focused on the structure and dig the domestic demand stage, home appliance manufacturing enterprise and retail enterprise supply chain docking, the country industrial structure adjustment and expanding domestic demand has much help? LuoQingQi: a huge help, why have great help. Such as the structure, and the structure we mainly talks about the industrial structure, the industrial structure is the focal point of the enterprise, the enterprise to do innovation, to do to adjust your technology innovation of the industrial structure. But now there is a question what??? The rest of the large number of consumers pick, retail and factory has been in a quarrel between, subject to the loss. The loss in China it is great, because not integrated supply chain. This loss every day with the operation process, earnings is very low, how have your energy for innovation? How could do industrial structure adjustment? If you put the problem solving, can clean SLATE, for example, the launch of the country as the structure of this stuff,New Era Hats it can be easy to echo, to embrace such strategic policy. Compere: do you feel that home appliance to China supply chain matchmaking financial system including logistics system what effect? LuoQingQi: logistics, now I think no problem, logistics what is the biggest problem? Is the thing with information not docking, for example I will go to the delivery, the user to the goods at home, but now delivery, users don't know what time of delivery send, delivery of don't know the user when at home, this in the delivery to or can't get the and so on so that some problems, can lead to what? Increase the logistics cost. We now call visible logistics, what is visible logistics? No matter go where, can track to, can reduce the industry's logistics cost. If the logistics is smooth, you think about the whole operation costs will come down, this is a. And still another problem is what? Inventory. Because logistics is fluent, consumer demand is accurate, you sell goods to sell more, pick the rest of the number is very few, the original problem is what? Demand is visible, zero for both sides in the guess again, a big part of be they guess wrong, they guess wrong is a large inventory, large inventory. Inventory is dull and money behind. You will find that it is a special retail sometimes, but industry occupies funds will be very big, why? Dull capital, it does not rotate, invalid funds is very much. If the chain up smooth words, a lot of goods will be liberated, shouldn't the production of goods not production. It is not the production of shouldn't say things into circulation system, now is not the production of have no, so the entire retail system or manufacturing system, the original invalid goods that takes up capital was liberated. A normal economic scale with normal monetary takes up match, can release a lot of social capital appear, this is that it's a public effect. Host: thank you very much today ROM teachers brilliant explanation, this home appliance to the deep end, we next time, good-bye. Expert introduction LuoQingQi, senior director of pat consulting firm. For multinational companies, government agencies and nonprofit organizations provide strategic development consulting services. Pat pat, consultation about Michael consulting is a few can simultaneously for multinational companies, government agencies and nonprofit organizations provide strategic advisory services of one of the institutions. Mainly to all kinds of organizations provide strategic decision-making development strategy, organization optimization and performance improvement the consultation service. Service fields covers the electronic, retail, finance, energy, health and other 17 industry and government organizations and non-profit organizations.

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Don't claim to be "China is already the superpower" for good

Explore Chinese stock market bear the global truth

We are used to the stock market as a national economic barometer, this seems to be the general consensus, whether domestic abroad. If this view can set up words, does that mean the coupon card for a country investment market terms is quite important, perhaps this is the developed countries treat stock market not a complete with kid gloves and crime, science, fair strict regulations to bind it basic reason. I say so,NBA Hats is likely to cause those who are too patriotic people despise an attend to, and the irony is "even foreign moon than China" and from the Ming its pleasures. But we had to think, developed countries why developed, and is made of paper balloons blow? Asked why China can't born Mr Buffett and ask why China can't born Nobel Prize winners, the significance and the truth is the same. Our stock market from beginning to end will have serious defects of the system, in the protection on the question of who guard who, from the stock market has been set up at the beginning of the loses fairly, its immediate goal is for the state-owned enterprise funds to solve the difficulties, the utility of the urgency from the start management mentality to leaving attention to how to build a health fair capital market. Willy-nilly, say again, can say is autocratic system is not only the only under the necessary choice of the bureaucracy, as long as it satisfied on the line, this is our stock market born lame reason.wholesale sunglasses We are used to thinking of the development side management, and, in the name of beauty is science use of Marx's theory of development is the merits things, to pay for their mistakes, suspected later will slowly perfect. Such natural lame capital market can exactly how far?

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2012年3月18日星期日

China shall immediately 1 trillion tax cuts

2012 years is in the recent 20 years China's facing the most important test. In the past ten years, the cost is low, China's export growth of more than 20%, the success of government departments, cover the rapid expansion of low efficiency. Global economic stagnation is structural. China's exports in the coming decade may slow growth. If the state department does not shrink, China will face low growth and inflation, i.e. experience stagflation. To avoid such a fate, China must reform and restoring growth. The most important measure is to tax cuts. The rapid expansion of government departments, state-owned enterprises, and the attached to the former two private enterprise, the efficiency is low very serious, to the future of China's economy has brought great threat. Generally speaking, easy to make money will reduce the efficiency. Government departments through the taxes and low price from the bank lending, easy access to a large income. Part of this is too easy to obtain money lead to the large expansion of government departments. Tax cuts will be significantly to stimulate the economy. With a weak exports, it will be very necessary for. By reducing the government waste to improve efficiency is a top priority. China need immediate tax 1 trillion yuan RMB to improve efficiency. 1 trillion yuan through tax cuts goal can be of value added tax, consumption tax and business tax each reduce five points way realization. For example, value added tax reduce one 5, will be from now the tax rate of 17% down to 13.5%. The highest personal income tax rate will be cut to 25% will not significantly affect financial income. Personal income tax in 2011 years ago in the nine months accounts for only 7% of China's fiscal revenue. But, it will have on China's international image has a great influence,MLB Cap summaries of the high income people have very attractive. The man turned to China, will improve the productivity of Chinese and international status. This action can be put into small, high return. China's household consumption accounts for only of the GDP of a third, less than half of the developed countries, developing countries also far lower than the average level of 55%. Prices high and low consumption main reasons. The value added tax, consumption tax and business tax each reduce one 5, will surely can stimulate the consumption. Consumption growth will likely more than disappointing cut helped drive. Is the fixed assets investment project selection and cost is concerned, the low efficiency of the government department is deeply rooted. The current system should through the development and reform commission of the examination and approval procedures to limit such inefficient behavior, but apparently did not help. Fixed assets investment situation of waste can be seen everywhere. Only the supervision of the general public can improve efficiency.discount sunglasses The local government shall all the spending on the web for all citizens supervision. Reforming state-owned enterprise management, improve economic efficiency, is China's urgent. In the current environment, there is no space continue to stand for this kind of obvious low efficiency.

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Social endowment lead to fertility rate drop

The new rural endowment insurance in shandong province after the enforcement HuiMinXian, HuiMinXian QingHeZhen for 25 couple deal with retreat two foetuses index formalities. QingHeZhen DingZhuangCun DingChun flowers in town with a couple JiShengBan back two foetuses index materials very optimistic, very proud to say: "the new rural endowment insurance let us common people on the future pension problems have no worries. As long as a year now pay $beside, to old will receive 100 yuan a month or so of pension, the old couple is 200 yuan, in the countryside basic life need can satisfy the....... The new farming keeps let me change begat endowment of old ideas, giving up two foetuses fertility index to the family,cheap new era hats reduce the burden not only, and reduce the burden to the society. It's not hear the village propaganda to join the new farming keeps, I immediately thought about to join the new farming keeps two foetuses fertility index return." I in March 2010 the E proposal submitted to the family planning into independent fertility proposal "once said:" a nation is to reduce population growth, in fact only need to do two things: first, provide people the old-age security; the second, popularize the contraceptive knowledge. Western countries do not want to cut down the population, but because the these two points, so do many countries had lower fertility rate change generation level." Above the news confirmed that the conclusion: social pension insurance lead to fertility rate drop. In China, the rural fertility rate above the city, one of the very important reason is: in the implementation of the new farm before policy, China's most farmers is no social pension insurance, farmers can only rely on "and". If there is a social pension insurance, farmers also don't want to have more children. Of course, the above mentioned in the news "to the old monthly will receive 100 yuan of pension", I think, a rural elderly only on 100 yuan monthly pension, it is very difficult to satisfy the basic life need. But even if is such a low pension, also led to some rural couples return two foetuses index. If pension standard higher, estimates that will lead to more rural couples return two foetuses index. On one hand, the social old-age security lead to fertility rate drop; On the other hand, the fertility rate down to make ends meet and pension funds, causing the vicious circle. This is because birth rates drop speed up an aging population, lead to capture expends one is less, pensioners is much. Recently, the relevant department by the 2011 China pension development report in 2010, said the Shanghai, jiangsu, hubei, hunan, 14 provinces and xinjiang production and construction corps of fund of primary endowment insurance collects pay income to touch the current team, the gap is as high as 67.9 billion yuan. Many developed countries experience shows that if there is a social pension insurance, even encourage birth, most people don't want to more children because they don't need "and". Now many developed countries and regions spend money making award to have more, still can't effectively improve birth rates. I think, if you want to effectively improve the fertility rate, have to cancel forced social security (or forced into the social security voluntary commercial insurance), restore family endowment (or the children endowment) part of the function. Of course, if a country think it is necessary to reduce fertility rate, so can promote social endowment insurance system. Some people think that children endowment is not reliable, the social security pension to reliable. I think, blood is thicker than water is eternal truth, nothing can replace blood relations. In such a moral reduced society, if still have what sincere feelings, then the first thing I thought of was between parents and children of the family, and brothers and sisters of the brotherhood between. Of course, if you have enough children endowment, you can also buy commercial endowment insurance. Besides, the social security pension are not reliable, my previous article has said, now China still in what is called a "population dividen" stage, pension funds have make ends meet, the future with the increasingly serious aging, enter "the population liabilities period", on the one hand,best sunglasses the old man increased year by year, when peak reached more than 400 million old man, on the other hand, the young working population reduced year by year, the pension system will one day be collapse. Some people are forced to support social security, because they think social security to pay cost of most of the unit is made for himself, personal delivery of just fragments. They didn't think of, it is precisely because the unit for employees made social security head, so will the corresponding down employee's salary; If units do not need to pay social security for employees, will increase employee's salary. Besides, social security funds from the collection, investment operation to extend, after so many people hand, administrative management expenses was occupied very big one part, it also increases the risk of corruption. In recent years, the social security funds use illegal or irregular caused heavy loss of frequent events, such as the 2006 Shanghai social security fund case, involving a value of RMB yuan.

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The central bank to maintain 0.5% benchmark interest rate and asset purchase program unchanged

2012年3月16日星期五

2011 annual real estate ten big speech punk

December 29, 2011, "relocation" magazine joint room registered in the great hall of the people common announced "2011 year 10 real estate speech". The ten big speech from 2011 in 100 to a typical remarks through the network vote. Property developers should flow moral blood-the state council premier wen jiabao said of mind market, the prime minister said, "here I also want to say a word to the real estate business, I have no survey each of you in real estate business of the profits of the business, but I think the real estate business as a member of the society, you should have to fulfill the social responsibility. Upon you also should flow moral blood." Essay: wen jiabao has never been so publicly blamed the developers moral problems, the words of a stone arise waves, which makes many developers in public. But also hope that the words really wake up some moral failings developers. Security room construction to go back to the great leap forward era-Beijing huayuan real estate Co., LTD. The chairman RenZhiJiang "I object to is not the security room system, in fact, the first proposed is me." RenZhiJiang introduction, he himself is China's first put forward must build a security system of the room. "Now proposes 10 million sets of security room is the great leap forward, 'a' to eat to start a fat man." Essay: RenZhiJiang words always has the very strong effect, when many also often in order to maintain their own interests and said some let street hard to accept it. But this sentence to have some truth. So many years security has been abandoned house construction,cheap oakley sunglasses to pick up also cannot too hasty. Otherwise, a bigger problem. But it can't be RenZhiJiang don't build houses for the poor the reason. The big bounce already make $China property market crash is at stake-independent economic review xie if China to protect people in the name of the growth hands again, then the real estate bubble will revive. This will increase the range of the future adjustment. Bursting of the housing bubble will probably because the fed tightening monetary policy, while the effect of the Chinese choice. Essay: Andy xie, never is very pessimistic, has many years of foreign financial industry experience, many predict are very accurate, but in the domestic is also applicable? And the view and do! Leading cadres carve up price fixing the room not events is famous host cui always dollar case-famous host cui always dollar FaWei bo against price fixing the room shady decision-making, "850 sets of the duty to give the difficult people, ninety percent of the price fixing the room but zhejiang province some leading cadres, cangnan carve up the difficult people reluctantly were left feeling useless. I think at room, this is not the case, and this is the event." Essay: according to cui always dollar mean that is not legal to encroach on price fixing the room people to justice. Real estate is always pillar industry is expected to fire again 30 years--famous economists, China's economic system reform, vice President of research at least 30 years China structural high growth during this cannot have big crisis. Real estate is always pillar industry, the housing market basically achieved a soft landing...... Essay: don't know this is President of fan wishes still??????? Limit to buy 2012 spring or loose could in the future real estate chamber of commerce, the national association of industry and commerce cancel NieMeiSheng President for purchase to limit the bounds of lift time, NieMeiSheng made a bold prediction: "I expect next spring may appear, become loose, then over time are likely will be cancelled." Essay: listen now the government said regulation unwavering voice, again hear words of President, what to listen to one? The local government will not power prices come down-China real estate society, Beijing real estate executive chairman of society ChenGui standing vice President ChenGui said, the real estate industry to undertake the task of stimulating local economy, so, some local governments may and don't want to control prices. Essay: it means along, but it is the past, the future can not work that is bad to said. Local government depends on the practice of land financial can become a history, it will have to see the central the supervision. Until 70 the property right back is to let a person do mortgage slave generation-the National People's Congress, and the chairman zong wahaha group company in 2011 sessions, the National People's Congress, and the chairman Mr Zong said wahaha group company, building land access expires in 70 not fair, it is to let person when mortgage slave throughout your generations. Essay: mortgage slave is how to shape? The question is worthy of thinking. The real estate market has menopause--SOHO China into the chairman Mr Pan recently published 36 million sets of affordable housing construction, such as real estate market growth menopause, the entire structure of the real estate market are facing a major adjustment and change. Essay: and he said the housing market! Zha don't say you of commercial real estate? China only a land supplier is that high prices source--the famous economist, day of institute of China's economy is MaoYuShi land sale is not fair competition, not free choice, because China only a land suppliers, and that is the government. The Chinese people don't allow a prime land to the first sale of the people to the government, sell it to developers, this is real estate in China the biggest problem. Essay: you live in such a society, state-owned land, and that's not just a supplier! December 29, 2011, "relocation" magazine joint room registered in the great hall of the people common announced "2011 year 10 real estate speech". The ten big speech from 2011 in 100 to a typical remarks through the network vote. Property developers should flow moral blood-the state council premier wen jiabao said of mind market, the prime minister said, "here I also want to say a word to the real estate business, I have no survey each of you in real estate business of the profits of the business, but I think the real estate business as a member of the society, you should have to fulfill the social responsibility. Upon you also should flow moral blood." Essay: wen jiabao has never been so publicly blamed the developers moral problems, the words of a stone arise waves, which makes many developers in public.But also hope that the words really wake up some moral failings developers. Security room construction to go back to the great leap forward era-Beijing huayuan real estate Co., LTD. The chairman RenZhiJiang "I object to is not the security room system, in fact, the first proposed is me." RenZhiJiang introduction, he himself is China's first put forward must build a security system of the room. "Now proposes 10 million sets of security room is the great leap forward, 'a' to eat to start a fat man." Essay: RenZhiJiang words always has the very strong effect, when many also often in order to maintain their own interests and said some let street hard to accept it. But this sentence to have some truth. So many years security has been abandoned house construction, to pick up also cannot too hasty. Otherwise, a bigger problem. But it can't be RenZhiJiang don't build houses for the poor the reason. The big bounce already make $China property market crash is at stake-independent economic review xie if China to protect people in the name of the growth hands again, then the real estate bubble will revive. This will increase the range of the future adjustment. Bursting of the housing bubble will probably because the fed tightening monetary policy, while the effect of the Chinese choice. Essay: Andy xie, never is very pessimistic, has many years of foreign financial industry experience, many predict are very accurate, but in the domestic is also applicable? And the view and do! Leading cadres carve up price fixing the room not events is famous host cui always dollar case-famous host cui always dollar FaWei bo against price fixing the room shady decision-making, "850 sets of the duty to give the difficult people, ninety percent of the price fixing the room but zhejiang province some leading cadres, cangnan carve up the difficult people reluctantly were left feeling useless. I think at room, this is not the case, and this is the event." Essay: according to cui always dollar mean that is not legal to encroach on price fixing the room people to justice. Real estate is always pillar industry is expected to fire again 30 years--famous economists, China's economic system reform, vice President of research at least 30 years China structural high growth during this cannot have big crisis. Real estate is always pillar industry, the housing market basically achieved a soft landing...... Essay: don't know this is President of fan wishes still??????? Limit to buy 2012 spring or loose could in the future real estate chamber of commerce, the national association of industry and commerce cancel NieMeiSheng President for purchase to limit the bounds of lift time, NieMeiSheng made a bold prediction: "I expect next spring may appear, become loose,aviator sunglasses then over time are likely will be cancelled." Essay: listen now the government said regulation unwavering voice, again hear words of President, what to listen to one? The local government will not power prices come down-China real estate society, Beijing real estate executive chairman of society ChenGui standing vice President ChenGui said, the real estate industry to undertake the task of stimulating local economy, so, some local governments may and don't want to control prices. Essay: it means along, but it is the past, the future can not work that is bad to said. Local government depends on the practice of land financial can become a history, it will have to see the central the supervision. Until 70 the property right back is to let a person do mortgage slave generation-the National People's Congress, and the chairman zong wahaha group company in 2011 sessions, the National People's Congress, and the chairman Mr Zong said wahaha group company, building land access expires in 70 not fair, it is to let person when mortgage slave throughout your generations. Essay: mortgage slave is how to shape? The question is worthy of thinking. The real estate market has menopause--SOHO China into the chairman Mr Pan recently published 36 million sets of affordable housing construction, such as real estate market growth menopause, the entire structure of the real estate market are facing a major adjustment and change. Essay: and he said the housing market! Zha don't say you of commercial real estate? China only a land supplier is that high prices source--the famous economist, day of institute of China's economy is MaoYuShi land sale is not fair competition, not free choice, because China only a land suppliers, and that is the government. The Chinese people don't allow a prime land to the first sale of the people to the government, sell it to developers, this is real estate in China the biggest problem. Essay: you live in such a society, state-owned land, and that's not just a supplier!

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The price difference is not easy to recognize

Input sex inflation, egg? Eggs chicken?

According to the national bureau of statistics released, in 2011, the residents' consumption of the general level of prices rose 5.4% from the previous year. Far more than 4% of the control target. The national bureau of statistics spokesman YaoJingYuan in CCTV analysis to: the first important factor is the "enter type inflation". International commodity prices from the year before all the surge in oil prices,polarized sunglasses iron ore prices, non-ferrous metal prices, food prices. We are now the growth of China's economy will lead to our way in a certain extent depends on the international market, for example we want to rely on imported oil 55%, the proportion of iron ore import is higher, more than half of the world trade. This kind of situation, we face the input type there is no way to inflation, is passive, and this is a big reason. Mr. YaoJingYuan of this opinion, from the static view, from simple causal relation between, and good. But, international commodity prices for why will boom? I'm afraid very important reason is our demand for high growth and cause, and the fact that we dare to high prices for the purchase, bought, very important reason is our low labor cost booth low the total cost. Furthermore, if, mainly is the "enter type inflation" factors of words, so the economy will not go into "stagflation" of the state,new era hats and the current economic just toward the "stagflation" the trend of the development of the direction is more and more obvious. So, the high price increase input sex blamed on inflation, not very objective "cause", also is not a prescription "basis". Not all over the country "GDP competition" review of words, the problem is unable to recognize.

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Housing policy as "high tension line"

2012年3月12日星期一

Financial reform to elaborate, the industry is no revival

Not long ago the fourth national held financial work conference, prime minister wen jiabao explicitly requested, financial will increase to the real economy service efforts, let the entity economy more solid foundation. Indeed, as the currency in recent years the hair brought serious asset bubble, many industry KongXinHua gradually, the entity economy is facing serious risks. In the last ten years, China's financial industry made great development, asset scale, capital adequacy ratio, bad ZiChanLv and many other index, have shown that the financial system is in the history of the best day period. However, a thriving in the financial industry, the entity economy, contains the very serious crisis. The entity of the economy, and in addition to state-owned enterprises and local government of public property characteristics of the field has, has been get Banks and the favour of capital market, most of the private enterprises can not get financial institutions service. Even if can get a financing support,discount sunglasses the private enterprise need financing cost of pay, also much higher than the public sector. Can say, China's economy the most dynamic, innovation of the just is the most sufficient kinetic energy now increasingly flagging the private economy. Over the years, "kingdom into people retreat" bring rapid expansion of state-owned capital, the private capital survival was very difficult, industrial rate of return is extremely low, seek survival squeezed for most of what was the norm, industry KongXinHua trend is getting worse. And solving a lot of employment of the small and medium-sized manufacturing, small micro service industry is almost collective encounter financing, development has struggled. And those in the startup of the enterprise, because of the conditions of the rigid limitation, whether bank financing system directly, or the stock market bond market, capital market, is unable to provide the corresponding financing services. So, how can we make the financial industry in the service entity economy? We must first clear, how the financial industry to service in the state-owned capital outside of the real economy. The key lies in a lot of resources, the market is held by the state-owned capital hands, a little bit higher profits industry, corporation to market access. Although in 2005 and 2010, the state council have issued to speed up the private capital for the development of article 36 of the old and new, but so far not enough enforcement, lead to the state-owned capital still in hurricane dash, folk capital way out more and more narrow. Thus, at risk of expected considerations, bank, capital market of course will only more funds to the state capital. So, the only hard implementation "the new 36", let private capital to earn enough money, the financial sector will naturally willing to service in the private economy. No private capital development space policy broken innings, no matter how to promote financial reform, improve the financial company management, also can't let the financial industry is willing to service the economic entity of the most key parts. Considering the indirect financing market bank system, state-owned feature obviously, it is difficult to complete market in the short term the reform of the operation, then? In the short term to speed up the development of direct financing market, may be easing the current dilemma for the reality of choice. However, layer upon layer the system barrier and administrative imprints, let the stock and bond occupies the subject direct financing market development are still slow. In order to make China's economic security through the current risk accumulated period, must certainly pulling away from the constraints of the healthy development of the financial market many institutional obstacles. Also, with China's real estate bubbles of constantly do big, China's economic speculative atmosphere is very strong. To the real estate bubble for benchmarking, consumable field, art investment and many other fields have towards turning into a bubble-and asset markets become the capital pouring into Windows. Asset price bubbles,MLB Cap bring the entity economy is only the capital run away, this is also causes the entity of the economic downturn today key reasons. The whole, to the entity economy with renewed vigor, the urgent task must speed up the financial reform, at the same time give private capital and state-owned capital nearly equal economic position, and also have to eliminate the whole economic speculative atmosphere too strong. Only "two head in hand", the entity capital to be really developed, China's economic entity might really firm. And once a solid economic foundation, strong, swept across the country asset bubble, slowly "sit real possibility also greatly increased, to a great extent, can eliminate the risk of a hard landing of the bubble. The old saying that the cloud, "the skin not kept MaoJiangYanFu". With the day of the financial industry, the entity economy can not only of state capital is popular, but the real market, and the most innovative private capital, only to hot money into form existence, such "fur relationship," will only constant threats long-term health development of China's economy. For this, in 2012, "for their" economic situation is to promote the reform of systematic critical moment, a single economic field of tinkering will not play a substantial role. Can't wait!

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Wu ying is not worthy of death

The leadership, Asia Pacific, China's position is how to place?

Japan's prime minister wild tian "plans to put forward calls for Asia Pacific countries, signed a" Pacific declaration ", so as to seek the economic development in the asia-pacific region and stability, strengthen mutual cooperation, the establishment of solving disputes between countries of the principles and guidelines. YeTian of the idea, the purpose is to abolish the establishment of hatoyama's cabinet put forward "east Asian community" plan, let Japan and the United States to take on future leadership to an important responsibility of the Asia Pacific region. Review in 2009, a government came to power and high profile hatoyama will "east Asian community" as the important pillar of Japan's diplomatic. Although the idea was very fuzzy, but has already won China and South Korea leader's identity, and is written into the October 2009 leaders of the three countries signed the tenth anniversary of the China,best sunglasses Japan and South Korea cooperation joint declaration. This explains trilateral cooperation has come to the threshold of the new breakthrough. However, in constructing "east Asia community on the road, the United States factors clearly took" hind legs ". The United States against the China, Japan and South Korea set up the idea of the "east Asian community", investigate its reason is, the idea as success will weaken the American influence in asia-pacific. Therefore, in JianZhiRen regime to replace after hatoyama, has set up a file in the mouth of his hear "east Asian community" view. And by YeTian regime, "east Asian community" is further away from it. In fact, YeTian proposed the Pacific declaration "idea, basically use the U.S. government advocates economic and security field" Asia Pacific change "idea, only is YeTian regime will shape this idea. As Japan's "daily news" of the published a commentary said, YeTian with "the Pacific declaration" as the starting point, in the "east Asian community" idea of former regime hatoyama clear and develops a line that. It is reported, YeTian plan in September in Russia at the APEC meeting FuLaDiWoSiTuoKe, to the world leaders put forward the Pacific declaration "this call. Should say, "the Pacific declaration" have YeTian personal political ideal color. Perhaps this is in the treatment of the Chinese, American and Japanese relations, Japan always hope and set up the relationship between China and the United States equivalent, get rid of the supporting role. By extension, YeTian advocate of the Pacific declaration, and its aim is to Japan to the United States as the asia-pacific, intention is deal with China, will China marginalized. The Pacific declaration also might be Japan, the United States in the 21 st century, especially the war in Iraq, the war in Afghanistan and the financial crisis after the judgment of the world development trend and grasp. Specifically, in the U.S., Japan and the decline of China's rise trend of the forward-looking strategic adjustment of a ring. The Pacific declaration "appear, show that YeTian abandoned completely of the Democratic Party of Japan's ruling concept, the choice is Japan's liberal Democratic Party and of the same work, the Japanese military and diplomatic overall to the United States, and then let the Japanese and lost himself. But his choice of a wrong direction. That followed in the United States after the policy can serve as a normal country. The wrong is particularly funny,cheap new era hats because normal country performance is the maximum limit with their own policy, and Japan did exactly the opposite, to more tightly bound together with the United States. Of course, the rise of China and China overtook Japan to become the world's second largest economy, also let the Japanese such as bone in the throat, always want to other countries to deal with China, the United States natural as Japan indispensable object. Instead, the U.S. also zeroed in on the opportunity, in between China and Japan to co-opted Japan. If the a may pull, a willing to throw herself, and directly to a third party, so it is good relations between China and Japan can't go there. In fact, it is obvious that can see, Japan, the United States have hope in Asia or global alliances to curb the rise of China, said sounds a little better, was to force or "guide" China towards the direction of what they want. The problem is, Japan wants to pull the United States, with the United States equal to become the Asia/Pacific leaders, is that Japan take it for granted. China is willing to accept the arrangement of Japan, China in the future the position of a how? The subject is unknown. However, some forecasts, Japan proposed the Pacific declaration, now or castles in the air, without the approval of the market in China, and according to China's interest to determine the Pacific declaration the denotation and connotation is hard to succeed. Relative to a strong opponent is concerned, Japan and the United States want to lead the asia-pacific, not to give China should have status or position, is not the past said. Th beauty to the leadership, not only cannot leave China, but also won't open China. On the other hand, China didn't care YeTian "Pacific declaration, and don't have to stay in the energy the surface of the problem and the above form, to develop the solid practical work, then I consider the deep political dialogue and exchange, don't let Japan made between China and the United States, and this is the more important things.

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The provincial government not to move the nansha limited impact on house prices

2012年3月11日星期日

How to understand "house prices reasonable return"

It was not worth it to comment on the questions, but also simple but again. Because the premier wen jiabao has 5 times have said so, can be said to be repeated. Not only such, President hu jintao at the party conference also special emphasis on house prices the meaning of regulation. So, this is not expand the love of my young and old man of the young people of the problems, but the ruling party and government consistent mission, also is the political task, rose to a major national political and economic policy aspect. China real estate KongQingPing ChunMing meeting yesterday in the name of the theft said: regulation will relax, the central recently about 2012 market in the formulation of policy will be fine-tuning,discount sunglasses in fact means that regulation will relax. He thinks that 2011 market higher than expected performance. This year the regulation "relaxed", first will embody in the relaxation of the liquidity and has already started. This paragraph if only comfort the company staff, that's nothing problem, but on the market to spread to other developers produces only a misleading, will certainly get board, because be the international economic and financial situation or China's economic transformation of the need, must drop of house prices. Developers have no other way out. Last December the relaxation of the M2 is to set off the foreign exchange the gap, absolutely not released to the market liquidity, and, the market is not the lack of liquidity, more is not KongQingPing speak "relax". A low level of the general manager of the scholars from renmin so, it is to let people down. Many had not financial comments columnist, also trying to premier wen jiabao "house prices reasonable return" content. In fact, macro economic decision-making on "house prices reasonable return to" have a defined early, just don't open this definition just. Country made this decision has its strategic significance, is also the government a smooth transition to the overall consideration, not taken lightly, more can't light speech "relax". House prices regression rational, literally understanding is very simple, is to make the real needs of ordinary people can afford housing average house, and the city's residents income relative says. In this market is the definition of "the housing price to income than", also is a door ordinary families in three to six years of income, can buy up a set of average house. The house price is reasonable. This house prices can realize the transformation of China's economy, otherwise, China expanding domestic demand is just an empty talk. So far, obviously, all the city house prices have already been too wide of the mark. Prices soaring, bring is??????? Of the value of a house to rise sharply, have been away from the of GDP growth. Internationally, we come to see, China's real estate in the past ten years have gone up more than 5 times, real estate market capitalization of GDP of about 360%, and the United States is only about 200%. Brazil's economic bubble, real estate for 290% of GDP,MLB Cap the Japanese house price bubble burst, real estate in GDP of 310%. Such huge bubble, management don't turn a blind eye to? So, all sorts of enlarge the behavior of house price bubble, has not possible, that will directly destroy China's economic system, and lead to the exchange rate of the yuan to collapse. The Japanese government in that year to contain prices foam, had to promulgated the "land financing limit make", not a cent to real estate loans. The Chinese government is very kind to developers, the only limit to buy, this has been slow in help developers run away, as far as possible to reduce the harm of an avalanche of house prices. If house prices can't get this year the rational regression, direct consequence is that the government will take in the Japanese government with the same method.

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An expansion of dynamic field

In human nature more beautiful angel

Leadership today go out shopping, home at noon without rice, then out to eat. Casual discovery by harvard have a lunch meeting, instantly will rub the thought of. The meeting have hamburger, cookies and coke supply, and even beer. Sit down and listen, it made the mistake on a high quality of the lecture. The department of psychology at Harvard University, please go to The famous professor Steven Pinker to promote his new book "in human Nature more beautiful Angel-Why Violence down" (The Better Angel of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined). Professor is both the world top Pinker language psychology experts, is the famous best-selling author. His new book is no doubt will also sparked new debate. Professor Pinker first analyzed the potential of human nature caused by violence and control of positive and negative factors of violence. In human nature of the Five the devil caused violence (Five Demons) including: as a result of the means of violence,best sunglasses players, and revenge "predatory" mentality, torture attitude and ideology. The so-called ideology, it is to point to specific ideology of the faithful believe that in the pursuit of infinite good use of violence in the process of infinite was justified. In human nature of violence control Four Angels (Four Angels) is including: Empathy (Empathy), self control, moral sense and Reason (Reason). If the former prevailed, then the whole world of violence levels will increase, conversely violence levels will decline. Second, from the long history of the dimension Angle, Pinker professor pointed out, there are six big trend reflected the globe to the reduction in violence. A human is from the nomadic gatherers to farming, the transformation of the settlers, he called it "putting down the Process" (Pacification Process); 2 it is by middle kingdom to the centralized kingdoms of change, is what he called a "civilization" (Citivilizing Process); Three is the emergence of enlightenment philosophy and the personal respect, what he calls a "humanistic Revolution" (Humanitarian Revolution); Four is after world war ii the confrontation of the cold war two pattern, and the United States after hegemony, is what he called a "long-term Peace" (Long Peace); Five is war become more frequent and not less casualties of long-term trends, he called it "the New Peace" (New Peace); Six is as the peace of the growth of the continuation and democratic society, for children, women, gay and ethnic violence of aggressive weakened gradually, he called it "Rights Revolution" (Rights Revolution). Again, Pinker professor says, there are five kinds of historical forces reduces the global violence levels. One is the leviathan type society the appearance and evolution. In this society, personal violence by state power and all kinds of the control system, that is the emergence of a state control of the house violence; 2 it is the emergence of trade and expanding the requirements of the peace deal parties security trade environment, namely trade provides economic motivation of the cooperation; 3 it is the rise of the feminist movement, enabling women from the pure race who continue to a group of growth, namely to women's empowerment; Four is the expansion of information network the us all bound together (he will this process called big cities socialist Cosmopolitanism), which makes human beings can of wider group empathy; Five is the rational thinking appeared (the so-called human affairs of scientific thinking), make people realize that, in most cases, the violence is not the best means to realize their own goal. In answer to questions of the audience in the process, Pinker professor, said he is not didn't see the current world various evils, and he also is not denying that part of the region and even serious worldwide, the possibility of a conflict, he is by no means firmly believe that human nature to good to the optimists, his this work, just based on long dimension data collection, history to analyze, analyzed and summarized result. For this lecture I view is, however, a major field is psychology professor incredibly to write so grand social, historical and political topic, itself is a very interesting. He from the psychology Angle of human nature, and began to analyze,cheap new era hats to think what factors make humans began to continued suppression of evil to reward good, and concluded that so grand conclusions, this kind of thinking mode is worth using for reference. Through in a separate analysis framework building several concepts, generalizing from data mining analysis in out of the interesting information, this is a kind of dispute larger analysis method. At least, from the view of economics, Pinker how to verify his professor proposed point of view, it is a difficult problem. Admittedly, through the natural experiments to confirm or card false can not be done, however, the world is so big, whether through the looking for some isolated society as instrumental variables, and proving its views? Anyway, I had a pleasant at noon, the meal ceng quite in position. Such activities more will be done.

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Around the country raised the standard room at the government's not save city is a demonic

2012年3月9日星期五

The central ordered place without authorization and fine-tune's influence

The central frequent wai comment maintain control policy, real estate regulation will continue to deepen, it will have on economic and social produces major effect. According to reports, live JianBu policy research center, deputy director of the WangJueLin said Monday, local governments should not attempt to adjust the central government's real estate control policy, must follow the policy of the central position. In fact, the central position dates back to the central economic work conference explicitly pointed out that, to insist on real estate control policies don't shake, promote house prices reasonable regression, speed up the common commodity housing construction, expand the effective supply and promote the healthy development of the real estate market. From the effects of perspective, limit to strike the purchase though some speculators, however, the most important thing is to credit blow. The current shortage of funds and real estate returns is relatively low, the market downturn is very normal phenomenon. There is no limit to the purchase of some city, is also limit the role of loan,discount sunglasses the market is slowing down. Because of this, from the enterprise cash flow to see, the s&p, ubs international institutions such as the recent are warning, 2012 real estate trusts a lot expires, due to unfavorable and short-term debt collection sales pressure problems, 2012 part of the room may be facing enterprises cash flow crisis. Cathay Pacific hand to securities statistics show that real estate trusts in 2012 due to 175.8 billion yuan of total scale, large scale to all year round, quarter to 36.6 billion yuan, second quarter for 36.8 billion yuan, the third quarter to 71.6 billion yuan, the fourth quarter for 30.9 billion yuan. One July for this year's peak, will reach 50.4 billion yuan. Can say, if the performance was not good, plus mount taishan malice, development business day really difficult. Large enterprises face pressure debt, and small and medium-sized enterprises are faced with the threat of bankruptcy, many enterprises can only borrow a usury, the end of which may be merged. Credit policy is the most important issue of the enterprise increased concentration, monopoly could lead to real estate market salinization, more hard to master. Based on the property market downturn, land market depression also force local government are in trouble, but the problem is not in this, the regulation on land, capital appreciation for leverage and not seriously build and development model, caused a fatal blow. In 2008, the author once in a "adjacent home building up 10000 yuan a year of a description: time to exchange for space, in the real estate market, a developer sometimes take to start, rapid opening rapidly after sales, not be worth a stroll, both energy and high profits. Two building dish profits also resist a building. In fact, the snail's strategy than fast fish strategy will often make money, mainly because the land "appreciation" be caused by, the so-called land appreciation is mainly through the new credit water injection mode will be a lot of new money into the market, it is based on this, to ensure low interest rates. In 2009 the dare to take the scale of the scholars from renmin, is because they have "the easy money"-that is, a large number of cheap credit funds. Uplift of the land was actually place into energy, but also raise the cost of developers. So, a lot of people think that this round of property market adjusted to the very deep, may be difficult to achieve utopia, developers take years to cost too much. Not only enterprise debt pressure, local under more pressure. Take focus for city of wuhu, 2011 wuhu financial income adds up to 28.681 billion yuan, of which, the local finance income 13.997 billion yuan, and the land grant fee will reach 6.13 billion yuan, close to half of the local fiscal revenue. Wuhu land to the growth of wuhu financial is obvious, and now the market is pale directly affect the development of wuhu speed. In fact, because of the real estate market downturn, Beijing, Shanghai economic growth in 8.1%, 8.2%, respectively, for the growth of first and second from bottom of the level. Therefore, the land market for local economic development is pale, it has the significant effect, not just wuhu so, even Beijing Shanghai can avoid. Now sign position and goods is the main house property, even the little girl fall in love to talk about most house,MLB Cap had a house would cover pretty ugly. In view of this situation, even the state council advisors, the central bank's monetary policy committee XiaBinDou said, the direct impact on home prices down, place the decline of the land grant fee, increasing the risk and financing platform where the banking system is not stable, and the stock market also form corresponding impact. According to the national audit office 2012 audit report no. 1, 2012 will be about 1.8 trillion local government debt due on. So, for the local government of the pressure is greater, which in turn will lead to the banking crisis. The central command place without authorization and fine-tune control policy, authorities in tight control of land and land policy, in which China this real estate regulation is integrated, we say that housing is a basic, now policies is rigid, and such comment means that China's real estate market torsion of the need for a time, but this time it is just looking for good availability to the person that buy a house to buy a house and the best time.

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2012 we can buy some???????

China's economic growth by half is not impossible

The international monetary fund (IMF) in Beijing representative office recently released a report says, if Europe's debt crisis continue to deteriorate, China's economic growth may reduce nearly half, and this will certainly prompted the Chinese government to implement "significant" fiscal stimulus policies. The IMF said the report, according to the organization for the global economy do "downside" predicts that China's rate of growth this year may be from the organization in China at present the economy have projections fell 4% at most 8.2%. In the government or economists expressed that 2012 Chinese economy will remain above 8% growth, the IMF thrown at this time China's economic growth will only 4% growth,best sunglasses really made people in for a surprise. Of course, the IMF official warned not forecast, but as the scene analysis of simulation, however, in the more evident globalization, China's economy may not possess. An unavoidable, the reality is, in the world at present main media in network on the front page, almost without exception will "slow" and "cooling" as the headlines, the global economic gloom of the major economies increasingly obvious, therefore, "slow" and "cooling" these keywords, has become a more and more countries in the mainstream media, the most common use of the most concentrated two words. In this sense, the IMF puts forward "China's economic growth in half" warning is worthy of our attention. In the 1990 s, people have put a similar reason, demonstrate, "Asian tigers" can continue to enjoy strong growth. But the results proved that they but is based on excessive investment on the basis of a mirage. Japan, Taiwan and South Korea are only keep the high 30 years--China came to this pass. Japan in the preliminary stage of industrialization ended, growth rate dropped by half, in the next 25 years economic the average annual growth of 4.6%, then slow further. From China's economic growth of the three carriages to see, in 2012, we can't on foreign trade net export growth reported the etheric great hope: a shrinking economy, international trade friction increases, the yuan appreciation pressure and the domestic market price for all elements of export growth caused significant impact. This means that, 2012 net exports to GDP growth may be the contribution of negative, and consumption and investment may be their respective contribution about half of GDP growth. People remember, September 2008 and October, China's export growth is 22%, by November a financial crisis impact is down to 2.5%. The month of value added of industry rate reduced from 5% to, and the power supply growth is negative, estimate the economic growth is 5%. And now with the 2008 financial crisis situation is very similar, the world economy on China's economic impact is so big. Further reasoning, exports fell on domestic industrial growth will influence is very large, and export value because of domestic value added of industry of more than 50%. And another influence on China's economic growth of real estate has to depression, from nov. 2011 to now, real estate has three months sales year-on-year. According to the experience and see, the housing sales year-on-year last six months or so, the housing inventory to pressure will into reality, and because the real estate industry at the top of the whole economic system resources of the thirty percent, its violent shake, is bound to lead to the whole China's economic growth continued slowdown. Signs from view,cheap new era hats China's economy in 2012 years, "hard" risk sharply. The Wall Street journal in May 2011, a risk manager to the United States, according to the survey, 14% of respondents said China's economy "hard" is the first big new risks, in 2009, only 4% of the people who share this view. And if now to do such survey, the result will be more disappointing. Earlier this year in the world of davos economic BBS annual meeting, some participants believe that markets will China economic landing, the developed countries of the financial crisis, and a wide range of asset prices collapse, as this year and the next few years the greatest risks to global stability. These theory sounds natural some not pleasant, but it is we have to face the reality. Of course, since most people are in the habit of life, but in the history of the violent transformation period, but it is often used to be our biggest enemy. In the last 30 years, many people form one of the biggest habits, is the sustainable growth of China's economy. Whether folk grass roots, or elite class, all of China's economic growth for the ability for granted. Even those who have prudent sceptical observers, also after in the 21 st century, the Chinese economy completely accept as a car "is always high speed running the locomotive of the" concept. However, this kind of understanding is the time for a change-China's economic growth by half is not impossible. The growth of China's economy than quality growth rate important, and in the long run, China's economic growth will continue for many years, which include China's per capita GDP is still very low, with a great growth space. Meanwhile, China is also enjoy a "late" advantage, can avoid other countries had made mistakes.

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2012年3月8日星期四

Small property right pilot clean you still dare to buy?

The ministry of land and resources has issued notice, our country will this year in parts of pilot, for the comprehensive clean up "small property right" do system and policy to prepare. At present the central requires all rural collective land to register the made, every small property right registration shall not be made, not protected by law. Small property right in origin price low once upon a time, small property would have not out of the hall hall shall not be "MaLian female", was already his flaws. Because it can give ordinary people want something, and that is a lower price. When these various small property right of "advantage" in people following psychological driven, small property rights itself irreconcilable disadvantage also would have been killing, small property right go today is in reason. In fact the outskirts of Beijing many "small property right" are "rebuilding old" or "the old city reconstruction," the name of, many buildings are "so-and-so village rebuilding old project" project,polarized sunglasses interest drive is obvious. They are for rebuilding old, built buildings, save the place, revered villagers living conditions fulfilled, will spare parts for sale, such already can let village collective gain, also solve some villagers the relocation of, what is kill two birds with one stone. It is understood that the "small property right" general by developers and village committee cooperation, or village committee to the organization construction, in the housing sites on residential land for development, and then sell themselves, and to the person that buy a house by the township government issued made "house property card". The person that buy a house with general contract of commodity house business contract is also different, its name is "XX project building business contract", the contract by the township people's governments producer, betray a people the villagers committee. This small property right by the "committee" to when the developers ". Although low prices caused the person that buy a house to "small property right" jump, but in "small property right" behind the sell like hot cakes, it is difficult to yan of risk and obvious benefit driving. In dilemma and embarrassing situation of the common people how to hold good this the relationship between them, and how to balance the weight of the these two are particularly important. Small property right clean up or will have practical action in the present situation of high prices pressure, people choose to buy a small property right is also with trepidation. So the current need most is the government can stand up for the people advocate. Facing small property right whether a kind of what kind of policy, how to reasonable resettlement has the existence of a large number of "small property right," one size fits all is knocking down? By the purchaser or through the land grant fee to fill the means such as a real property? Although the past government also has notice, said small property right is not in conformity with the current law, not protected by law. But according to this notice and not made any action. With a clear attitude, the next step is to publish relevant laws and regulations to fill the legal blank, believe that this will gradually improve on. Although the "small property right" a piece of sell like hot cakes sights, but "small property right" exist multiple risk, the biggest problem is in fact no property rights, from the protection of the law. Small property can't deal with loans, the person that buy a house for a one-time payment of all; If a collective land by the national back, the person that buy a house is hard to get compensation. In addition, there are small property right quality, property dispute, etc. Small property right you still dare to buy? This two days friends going to buy small property right, and I told them if put aside two years ago might still exploiting legal loopholes, perhaps can get a cheap, after all this in the law exists blank. But now the country for small property right attitude tough, "small property right" not protected by law, the state will strictly "small property right" further development,new era hats so now if forced to buy that may take a lot of risks. Since always, rural collective construction land circulation is a focus. Many people think the city residents can not only buy homestead built their own homes, and these the use right of land may be mortgaged to get financial support and expand the development. But in fact, rural collective construction land will have conditions permit, the use of the land may not be altered. This provision also let the better-than-expected "small property right" legalize imagination mean nothing. In fact bill is very clear, China's land not privatisation. With commodity prices high and new rural construction, Beijing has many price 2000 yuan/square metre only for the small building property right in public before his wares. Formalities is extremely simple to buy a house, and only accept rarely poundage, particularly popular. This is a few years ago in the network news of the popular. Although everyone knows cheap goods is not good of truth, so cheap small property right of natural couldn't and big property compared the commodity house. But when you see commodity house the price is too high, two limited room, economy applicable room and low-cost housing and totally insulation, while his ZhuFangMeng and hard to reassure, small property right was how many people realize ZhuFangMeng Gospel!

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The other way round the house you dare to live?

Concerns about those offspring

A few days ago, a period the interview, chatted to some attention, recording the following are some questions and answers. Lulu Sprite: to YangGongXu @ questions: as the nanjing jiangning vane of high-end building green city on the crystal blue bay decline of 34%, what do you see? YangGongXu, nanjing, hangzhou this kind of second city, housing inventory pressure even greater than a line, and so a landmark building obviously your price, is not an accident. Due to restrictions limit to suppress the loan to buy high-end demand, high-end projects generally don't have big drop, can explain the project enterprise or money very tight, or more to the development strategy of the nina_jiang lazy: to YangGongXu @ questions: Yang dean, hello. I personally feel improve type is a lot of demand, once the policy easing, and will repeat it, the more YueDiao up, always think in many of the regulation like a vicious cycle as! Look at the current situation of Yang zha? YangGongXu: don't be afraid of demand rebound. In the next 10 to 15 years, China's housing total demand over the past ten years and may be similar, but security room will greatly improve the proportion. Improve human needs are not restrained, always the release. Real estate is to stabilize the market control temperature, cold and fire, hot add ice, this is the periodicity of the real estate market, with suitable, policies is a cyclical and red pupil reasonable black cat: to YangGongXu @ ask: teacher Yang, we have always said "urged house prices regression reasonable level", the reasonable level is what level? How to define whether reasonable? Now although everyone said house prices in the drop, even some say hit bottom, but I feel a line of city people still can't afford it house, that what kind of price is reasonably and make it affordable? YangGongXu: market in the sense of reasonable prices: it is to point to clinch a deal valence, existence namely reasonable, the market have the final say. Political sense of reasonable prices: people don't always complain, unrest. The reasonable prices that Lao Yang: China national house prices keep in June, earn more than 7 times is reasonable. As for a lot of people who still can't afford to buy room, is normal and reasonable, because in most countries, people can't afford to buy the forty percent normal fish _ delight: to YangGongXu @ questions: the property market regulation may be part of house prices have fallen,dc hats to return to the house prices "reasonable", but can not achieve the person that buy a house think "reasonable" level. Excuse me, the contradiction between developers and consumers, is a pair of irreconcilable conflict? YangGongXu: developers and consumers, is sworn enemy, and good elder brother elder brother. In the last ten years if not so many developers, especially large supply of housing developers, high quality housing, the housing of Chinese level won't improve so fast. But the developers to make money, make more money, the person that buy a house can earn money. Market economy, free trade, both has contradictions, and very close. Room still: the YangGongXu @ questions: excuse me, Yang dean, I feel that the second quarter might use housing property tax replace limit buy, can it be? YangGongXu: real estate tax increase pilot, estimates that won't particularly fast, but this year it's possible. At present, the state house property tax is at the conclusion of the evaluation result, sessions may be discussed. Increase the city is the only way. Due to the increase of the city this year may not be much, so even if these city cancelled or purchase with relax restrictions, the market will not be affected obviously SuMin jie: to YangGongXu @ questions: news that 13 years will be the country's property market a big turning point, but isn't clear in which development trend, are we to understand the policy loose for next year, also or in disguised form relax policy also or other??? Do you have any idea? YangGongXu: in 2013, the real estate market performance, and the overall general good in this year. Policy will loose than this year, security room supply room also will be greater. Looking forward to the breeze: to YangGongXu @ questions: now in the housing market regulation I feel do not have what meaning, can't afford to buy a house or can't afford it, house prices to drop, common people income to improve ah, my life in shijiazhuang, property prices more than 6000 a square meters, I a month income more than 3000 is medium, low don't know how long you can buy on saving house! The bank also fish in troubled waters, the first interest rates also don't cut YangGongXu suite: any country, housing problems have to rely on two ways to solve, one is the market with commodity house; 2 it is the government leading security room. But between the two, often there is a so-called "sandwich layer", and can't afford, also didn't qualify for the latter. This is a worldwide problem. I think: one is the policy must be more care, such as male rent; 2 it is house price surged don't; Three is to rent in the static-CRIC: to YangGongXu @ questions: miss Yang hello, you think for a real estate primer, the establishment of a complete comprehensive understanding of the real estate to focus from which aspects should be? If the direction is the research. YangGongXu: see Lao Yang blogs and micro bo, is a shortcut oh. At the same time, read books and magazines of real estate. 51 capital project nets official micro Po: to YangGongXu @ questions: Yang teacher, how do you do! We all know, wuhu in the housing market, only three New Deal have been stopped. Compared to the new housing wuhu, Shanghai's two suites policy and have new idea? It's future and how will it? YangGongXu: we are all concerned about this thing. But Shanghai this administration and wuhu different, Shanghai administration of old, full three years of living certificate, are long-term working and living in Shanghai, should enjoy treatment of citizens. Wuhu is a more favorable measures and new file. However, because of the Shanghai media recently wild speculation, this was the situation and wuhu similar, so, the government is not impossible in Shanghai have been stopped. I am mickey cat: to YangGongXu @ questions: do you think the green city on the marketing means-how? Will not just hype? YangGongXu: not a hype. The market is under pressure of BianZhao. In a way, can promote sales, but not long-term plan. China's real estate agent system, should continue to develop perfect, to study abroad, such as a lawyer, as long as they get practice qualification, can separate service for developers, not must be in big intermediary structure work WuJiLun: to YangGongXu @ questions: Shanghai the common commodity house again after easing standard save the city, brazen policy easing restrictions to buy, YangXiong how to think about this problem?YangGongXu: is not defined as save the city, including Shanghai, a city can't easily help city, political pressure is too great, the foreigner is full 3 years can purchase of two sets of, is last year old policy, just didn't send files, now by the media, not to put YuHuiMin hold grace: to YangGongXu @ questions: everyone to the basic need not worry, worry is high-end market and improve sex market, both for purchase, and many other policy limit causes, the depressed market, the person that buy a house confidence, you like the 2012 this state of affairs will change? Or will it worse? YangGongXu: first of all, not worse; Second, the policy will be eased. The second half expected demand will significantly improve release, if before and after the end of no tough new policy (if house prices rebound could have), the high-grade room, a person of extraordinary powers curtilage the market next year will have performance. Wuhu tempted to secondary improve demand from agree tax, but may have been stopped, but second improvement will be relaxed Paris Ann roses: to YangGongXu @ questions: 2012 after the dragon poly price, is it possible for other developers has the stimulation? Whether it will open shen room enterprises preferential promotion agitation? YangGongXu: two weeks before you write the article said, "just after the Spring Festival, and a poly, such as investment promotion, hua big enterprise sales promotion, inevitable meeting causes a new round of sales promotion tide, suggest you future half year to pay more attention to the market, meet the right can be laid hands on him than reading: to YangGongXu @ questions: for the economy is not bounteous, just graduated a few years and to get married right away the young people, much more suitable for marriage room door model? At present is suitable for purchase? YangGongXu: marriage room problems, I had written articles for years. First, I don't recommend go so far for the place bridal chamber, such as big mix or three house, though cheap, work cost is too high. Second, I suggest that in the limited budget, as in the city or buy a little old house, don't be afraid of old house, go to work, and the house of good value, for a big after anterior chamber, also convenient for rent. Yu xiang Donald: to YangGongXu @ to ask: what do you see Lao Yang when property market will thaw? Rumours are saying the quarter this year may be small house prices rebound? Reliable? YangGongXu: volume has started to rebound, estimates that will continue to June or may share, but still in the first half of the price down to give priority to, the second half of the price will be stabilising, would this rebound, rebound strength, it is difficult to assert that nine more critical in October,discount nfl jerseys the decision to house prices rise into ever really channel. Purple rose 1188: to YangGongXu @ questions: an three city no limit to the purchase, sales situation is just as grim and is on sale room filled the property market, but are floor is poor, poor family house, the price is really down, but the real good availability didn't fall how many, excuse me: three lines of city house prices this year is about a trend? YangGongXu: at present, whether to buy has not important restrictions, basically the size of all city in cooling, the person that buy a house is not willing to enter the market, there are two main reasons: one is expected prices will fall; Two is to credit tight, this is a national. All in all, three or four city property market cooling speed is slow, lags behind a second city, but will certainly under the influence of the half. Just house price declines will be less than a second city Yi fairy: to YangGongXu @ questions: the news that 2012 began to commercial real estate, controls on commercial real estate will be what strike, what do you think about? Commercial real estate in the regulation comes eve on whether "in winter a fire"? YangGongXu: in the past few years, regulation is the focus of the housing market. Next, will be part of the frequency when commercial real estate, is mainly the CBRC and commercial Banks started to pay attention to credit risk problem. In fact, since the second half of last year, the commercial real estate market has cooled. In addition, parts of the city commercial real estate development large, also has caused the regulatory concerns. Feiying: to YangGongXu @ questions: the first is a line of control over the city or other cities? Limit buy can promote market mature? YangGongXu: only the central to stop, and local regulation can it be possible to fully exit, for example, in October 2008. But in the central significant relaxation before policy, must be "bottom-up" relax, the Midwest earlier than east, three or four city than a second city earlier. You can watch carefully place next move ZhouXin: the @ YangGongXu ask: is it two days marketing in seems to have a dim idea, Yang President felt? !Ha ha! YangGongXu: spring is coming, blow some warm wind, also calculate normal phenomenon oh. Only, if media coverage of the deal-and is more than around the Spring Festival, is still difficult to conclude that the spring breeze will always blow. From now on, turnover will increase month, until may or June. But we want to pay attention, what the price will rise against the synchronous reason, I am of the opinion or partial caution ah

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