2012年3月9日星期五

The central ordered place without authorization and fine-tune's influence

The central frequent wai comment maintain control policy, real estate regulation will continue to deepen, it will have on economic and social produces major effect. According to reports, live JianBu policy research center, deputy director of the WangJueLin said Monday, local governments should not attempt to adjust the central government's real estate control policy, must follow the policy of the central position. In fact, the central position dates back to the central economic work conference explicitly pointed out that, to insist on real estate control policies don't shake, promote house prices reasonable regression, speed up the common commodity housing construction, expand the effective supply and promote the healthy development of the real estate market. From the effects of perspective, limit to strike the purchase though some speculators, however, the most important thing is to credit blow. The current shortage of funds and real estate returns is relatively low, the market downturn is very normal phenomenon. There is no limit to the purchase of some city, is also limit the role of loan,discount sunglasses the market is slowing down. Because of this, from the enterprise cash flow to see, the s&p, ubs international institutions such as the recent are warning, 2012 real estate trusts a lot expires, due to unfavorable and short-term debt collection sales pressure problems, 2012 part of the room may be facing enterprises cash flow crisis. Cathay Pacific hand to securities statistics show that real estate trusts in 2012 due to 175.8 billion yuan of total scale, large scale to all year round, quarter to 36.6 billion yuan, second quarter for 36.8 billion yuan, the third quarter to 71.6 billion yuan, the fourth quarter for 30.9 billion yuan. One July for this year's peak, will reach 50.4 billion yuan. Can say, if the performance was not good, plus mount taishan malice, development business day really difficult. Large enterprises face pressure debt, and small and medium-sized enterprises are faced with the threat of bankruptcy, many enterprises can only borrow a usury, the end of which may be merged. Credit policy is the most important issue of the enterprise increased concentration, monopoly could lead to real estate market salinization, more hard to master. Based on the property market downturn, land market depression also force local government are in trouble, but the problem is not in this, the regulation on land, capital appreciation for leverage and not seriously build and development model, caused a fatal blow. In 2008, the author once in a "adjacent home building up 10000 yuan a year of a description: time to exchange for space, in the real estate market, a developer sometimes take to start, rapid opening rapidly after sales, not be worth a stroll, both energy and high profits. Two building dish profits also resist a building. In fact, the snail's strategy than fast fish strategy will often make money, mainly because the land "appreciation" be caused by, the so-called land appreciation is mainly through the new credit water injection mode will be a lot of new money into the market, it is based on this, to ensure low interest rates. In 2009 the dare to take the scale of the scholars from renmin, is because they have "the easy money"-that is, a large number of cheap credit funds. Uplift of the land was actually place into energy, but also raise the cost of developers. So, a lot of people think that this round of property market adjusted to the very deep, may be difficult to achieve utopia, developers take years to cost too much. Not only enterprise debt pressure, local under more pressure. Take focus for city of wuhu, 2011 wuhu financial income adds up to 28.681 billion yuan, of which, the local finance income 13.997 billion yuan, and the land grant fee will reach 6.13 billion yuan, close to half of the local fiscal revenue. Wuhu land to the growth of wuhu financial is obvious, and now the market is pale directly affect the development of wuhu speed. In fact, because of the real estate market downturn, Beijing, Shanghai economic growth in 8.1%, 8.2%, respectively, for the growth of first and second from bottom of the level. Therefore, the land market for local economic development is pale, it has the significant effect, not just wuhu so, even Beijing Shanghai can avoid. Now sign position and goods is the main house property, even the little girl fall in love to talk about most house,MLB Cap had a house would cover pretty ugly. In view of this situation, even the state council advisors, the central bank's monetary policy committee XiaBinDou said, the direct impact on home prices down, place the decline of the land grant fee, increasing the risk and financing platform where the banking system is not stable, and the stock market also form corresponding impact. According to the national audit office 2012 audit report no. 1, 2012 will be about 1.8 trillion local government debt due on. So, for the local government of the pressure is greater, which in turn will lead to the banking crisis. The central command place without authorization and fine-tune control policy, authorities in tight control of land and land policy, in which China this real estate regulation is integrated, we say that housing is a basic, now policies is rigid, and such comment means that China's real estate market torsion of the need for a time, but this time it is just looking for good availability to the person that buy a house to buy a house and the best time.

see more:Wuhu New Deal was stop the local government shall be tempted in the bottom line

2012 we can buy some???????

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