2012年3月11日星期日

How to understand "house prices reasonable return"

It was not worth it to comment on the questions, but also simple but again. Because the premier wen jiabao has 5 times have said so, can be said to be repeated. Not only such, President hu jintao at the party conference also special emphasis on house prices the meaning of regulation. So, this is not expand the love of my young and old man of the young people of the problems, but the ruling party and government consistent mission, also is the political task, rose to a major national political and economic policy aspect. China real estate KongQingPing ChunMing meeting yesterday in the name of the theft said: regulation will relax, the central recently about 2012 market in the formulation of policy will be fine-tuning,discount sunglasses in fact means that regulation will relax. He thinks that 2011 market higher than expected performance. This year the regulation "relaxed", first will embody in the relaxation of the liquidity and has already started. This paragraph if only comfort the company staff, that's nothing problem, but on the market to spread to other developers produces only a misleading, will certainly get board, because be the international economic and financial situation or China's economic transformation of the need, must drop of house prices. Developers have no other way out. Last December the relaxation of the M2 is to set off the foreign exchange the gap, absolutely not released to the market liquidity, and, the market is not the lack of liquidity, more is not KongQingPing speak "relax". A low level of the general manager of the scholars from renmin so, it is to let people down. Many had not financial comments columnist, also trying to premier wen jiabao "house prices reasonable return" content. In fact, macro economic decision-making on "house prices reasonable return to" have a defined early, just don't open this definition just. Country made this decision has its strategic significance, is also the government a smooth transition to the overall consideration, not taken lightly, more can't light speech "relax". House prices regression rational, literally understanding is very simple, is to make the real needs of ordinary people can afford housing average house, and the city's residents income relative says. In this market is the definition of "the housing price to income than", also is a door ordinary families in three to six years of income, can buy up a set of average house. The house price is reasonable. This house prices can realize the transformation of China's economy, otherwise, China expanding domestic demand is just an empty talk. So far, obviously, all the city house prices have already been too wide of the mark. Prices soaring, bring is??????? Of the value of a house to rise sharply, have been away from the of GDP growth. Internationally, we come to see, China's real estate in the past ten years have gone up more than 5 times, real estate market capitalization of GDP of about 360%, and the United States is only about 200%. Brazil's economic bubble, real estate for 290% of GDP,MLB Cap the Japanese house price bubble burst, real estate in GDP of 310%. Such huge bubble, management don't turn a blind eye to? So, all sorts of enlarge the behavior of house price bubble, has not possible, that will directly destroy China's economic system, and lead to the exchange rate of the yuan to collapse. The Japanese government in that year to contain prices foam, had to promulgated the "land financing limit make", not a cent to real estate loans. The Chinese government is very kind to developers, the only limit to buy, this has been slow in help developers run away, as far as possible to reduce the harm of an avalanche of house prices. If house prices can't get this year the rational regression, direct consequence is that the government will take in the Japanese government with the same method.

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